Adding risk-enhancing factors improves risk assessment of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in middle-aged and elderly Chinese: Findings from the Chinese Multi-provincial Cohort Study

Preprint | 
10.55415/deep-2023-0036.v2
This is not the most recent version. There is anewer versionof this content available.
Haimei Wang#
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Zhao Yang#
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Yue Qi
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Jing Liu*
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Yulin Huang
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Luoxi Xiao
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Yiming Hao
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Jiayi Sun
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Miao Wang
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Qiuju Deng
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Yongchen Hao
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Na Yang
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China

# contributed equally to this work, * Corresponding author


Abstract

Objective 

To examine whether risk-enhancing factors integrating with the Chinese Society of Cardiology-recommended clinical risk assessment tool (i.e., the CSC model) for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) improves 10-year ASCVD risk stratification in Chinese adults. 


Methods 

A total of 4,910 Chinese participants aged 50-79 years free of cardiovascular disease in the 2007-2008 Survey from the Chinese Multi-provincial Cohort Study were included. We assessed the updated model’s clinical utility (i.e., Harrel’s C-index and net reclassification improvement [NRI]) by adding risk-enhancing factors individually or the number of risk-enhancing factors to the CSC model among all individuals or those at intermediate risk. Risk-enhancing factors, including the family history of CVD, triglycerides ≥ 2.3 mmol/L, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein ≥ 2 mg/L, Lipoprotein (a) ≥ 50 mg/dL, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ≥ 4.9 mmol/L, overweight/obesity, and central obesity, were evaluated in the current analysis. ASCVD events were defined as a composite endpoint comprising ischemic stroke and acute coronary heart disease events (including nonfatal acute myocardial infarction and all coronary deaths).   


Results 

During a median of 10-year follow-up, 449 (9.1%) ASCVD events were recorded. Adding ≥ 2 risk-enhancing factors to the CSC model yielded significant improvement in C-index (1.0%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.2% to 1.7%) and modest improvement in NRI (2.0%, 95% CI: -1.2% to 5.4%) in the total population. For intermediate-risk individuals, significant improvements in NRI were observed by adding ≥ 2 risk-enhancing factors (17.4%, 95% CI: 5.6% to 28.5%) to the CSC model, particularly among those at high risk of developing ASCVD. 


Conclusions 

Adding ≥ 2 risk-enhancing factors refines 10-year ASCVD risk stratification, particularly for intermediate-risk individuals, demonstrating their potential to help tailor targeted interventions in clinical practice.

Supplementary Material
  1. Supplementary_file.pdf
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  • 07 Jun 2023 16:06 Version 2
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